CHIRPAnalytics
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL
50-26-6
@
2026-10-03
2026- ET
Washington Capitals
WSH
43-30-9

Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.

2025-26 · regular season

3.54
Goals / gm
3.21
2.82
Goals ag / gm
2.98
3.08
xG for / gm
2.96
2.73
xG ag / gm
3.09
53.1%
xG share
48.9%
53.8%
xG share
5v5
49.8%
52.0%
Shot share
fenwick
49.7%
+4.2
Finishing
goals − xG
-10.6
+13.5
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+35.1

Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.

Recent form

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TBL
WLWWLLLWWL
WSH
WWWLWLWWWW

Goalies

by games played

TBL
A. Vasilevskiy58gp · 0.912 · 2.31
J. Johansson25gp · 0.884 · 3.29
WSH
L. Thompson58gp · 0.912 · 2.44
C. Lindgren21gp · 0.879 · 3.52

Head to head

2025-26 meetings

DateMatchupScorexG
2025-10-14TBL @ WSH2-3 OT2.09-2.35
2025-11-08WSH @ TBL3-21.75-2.51
2025-11-22TBL @ WSH5-32.08-4.24

TBL leaders

points

RN. Kucherov44G 86A130
CJ. Guentzel38G 50A88
LB. Hagel36G 38A74
DD. Raddysh22G 48A70
CA. Cirelli23G 29A52

WSH leaders

points

LA. Ovechkin32G 32A64
RT. Wilson30G 32A62
DJ. Chychrun26G 34A60
CD. Strome19G 39A58
LA. Protas25G 27A52
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts