Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.54
Goals / gm
3.09
2.82
Goals ag / gm
3.65
3.08
xG for / gm
2.65
2.73
xG ag / gm
3.23
53.1%
xG share
45.1%
53.8%
xG share
5v5
45.7%
52.0%
Shot share
fenwick
44.9%
+4.2
Finishing
goals − xG
+8.0
+13.5
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+3.5
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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TBL
WLWWLLLWWL
TOR
WLWLOLLLLL
Goalies
by games played
TBL
A. Vasilevskiy58gp · 0.912 · 2.31
J. Johansson25gp · 0.884 · 3.29
TOR
J. Woll39gp · 0.899 · 3.34
A. Stolarz26gp · 0.893 · 3.28
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | TBL @ TOR | 0-2 | 2.22-2.06 |
| 2026-02-25 | TOR @ TBL | 4-2 | 5.04-3.91 |
| 2026-03-07 | TBL @ TOR | 5-2 | 3.27-2.74 |
TBL leaders
points
| R | N. Kucherov | 44G 86A | 130 |
| C | J. Guentzel | 38G 50A | 88 |
| L | B. Hagel | 36G 38A | 74 |
| D | D. Raddysh | 22G 48A | 70 |
| C | A. Cirelli | 23G 29A | 52 |
TOR leaders
points
| R | W. Nylander | 30G 49A | 79 |
| C | J. Tavares | 31G 40A | 71 |
| L | M. Knies | 23G 43A | 66 |
| C | A. Matthews | 27G 26A | 53 |
| D | O. Ekman-Larsson | 8G 31A | 39 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts

