Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.05
Goals / gm
3.61
2.96
Goals ag / gm
2.93
2.75
xG for / gm
3.43
2.60
xG ag / gm
2.65
51.4%
xG share
56.5%
51.2%
xG share
5v5
56.2%
49.0%
Shot share
fenwick
58.5%
-12.9
Finishing
goals − xG
-17.3
-4.7
Goaltending
xGA − GA
-3.0
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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PHI
WLLWWWLWWW
CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
Goalies
by games played
PHI
D. Vladar52gp · 0.906 · 2.42
S. Ersson33gp · 0.870 · 3.12
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | PHI @ CAR | 3-4 OT | 2.94-4.97 |
| 2025-12-13 | CAR @ PHI | 3-4 OT | 1.78-2.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | PHI @ CAR | 2-3 OT | 3.23-3.30 |
| 2026-04-13 | CAR @ PHI | 3-2 OT | 3.25-2.03 |
PHI leaders
points
| R | T. Konecny | 27G 41A | 68 |
| C | T. Zegras | 26G 41A | 67 |
| R | O. Tippett | 28G 23A | 51 |
| C | C. Dvorak | 18G 33A | 51 |
| R | M. Michkov | 20G 31A | 51 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts