CHIRPAnalytics
Ottawa Senators
OTT
44-27-11
@
2026-10-03
2026- ET
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR
32-36-14

Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.

2025-26 · regular season

3.39
Goals / gm
3.09
3.00
Goals ag / gm
3.65
3.03
xG for / gm
2.65
2.42
xG ag / gm
3.23
55.6%
xG share
45.1%
55.0%
xG share
5v5
45.7%
54.2%
Shot share
fenwick
44.9%
+4.6
Finishing
goals − xG
+8.0
-27.6
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+3.5

Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.

Recent form

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OTT
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TOR
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Goalies

by games played

OTT
L. Ullmark49gp · 0.891 · 2.73
L. Meriläinen20gp · 0.860 · 3.51
TOR
J. Woll39gp · 0.899 · 3.34
A. Stolarz26gp · 0.893 · 3.28

Head to head

2025-26 meetings

DateMatchupScorexG
2025-12-27OTT @ TOR5-73.56-2.82
2026-02-28OTT @ TOR5-23.94-2.51
2026-03-21TOR @ OTT5-24.77-1.88
2026-04-15TOR @ OTT3-13.55-1.72

OTT leaders

points

CT. Stützle34G 49A83
RD. Batherson33G 38A71
CD. Cozens28G 31A59
LB. Tkachuk22G 37A59
DJ. Sanderson14G 40A54

TOR leaders

points

RW. Nylander30G 49A79
CJ. Tavares31G 40A71
LM. Knies23G 43A66
CA. Matthews27G 26A53
LM. Maccelli14G 25A39
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts