Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
2.90
Goals / gm
3.61
3.05
Goals ag / gm
2.93
2.65
xG for / gm
3.43
2.91
xG ag / gm
2.65
47.7%
xG share
56.5%
48.3%
xG share
5v5
56.2%
48.0%
Shot share
fenwick
58.5%
-1.0
Finishing
goals − xG
-17.3
+22.3
Goaltending
xGA − GA
-3.0
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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NYR
WWWLWWLLLW
CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
Goalies
by games played
NYR
I. Shesterkin51gp · 0.912 · 2.50
J. Quick25gp · 0.891 · 3.09
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | CAR @ NYR | 0-3 | 2.36-2.55 |
| 2025-11-26 | NYR @ CAR | 4-2 | 2.16-3.95 |
| 2025-12-29 | NYR @ CAR | 2-3 OT | 2.44-3.78 |
| 2026-02-05 | CAR @ NYR | 0-2 | 1.62-3.31 |
NYR leaders
points
| C | M. Zibanejad | 34G 44A | 78 |
| L | A. Lafrenière | 24G 33A | 57 |
| L | A. Panarin | 19G 38A | 57 |
| D | A. Fox | 9G 44A | 53 |
| C | J. Miller | 17G 36A | 53 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts

