Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
2.90
Goals / gm
3.51
3.05
Goals ag / gm
2.94
2.65
xG for / gm
2.89
2.91
xG ag / gm
2.92
47.7%
xG share
49.7%
48.3%
xG share
5v5
50.5%
48.0%
Shot share
fenwick
49.3%
-1.0
Finishing
goals − xG
+15.8
+22.3
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+26.7
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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NYR
WWWLWWLLLW
BUF
LWWLLWWWWO
Goalies
by games played
NYR
I. Shesterkin51gp · 0.912 · 2.50
J. Quick25gp · 0.891 · 3.09
BUF
A. Lyon36gp · 0.907 · 2.77
U. Luukkonen35gp · 0.910 · 2.52
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | NYR @ BUF | 4-0 | 2.17-2.33 |
| 2026-01-08 | BUF @ NYR | 2-5 | 2.90-3.17 |
| 2026-04-08 | BUF @ NYR | 3-5 | 2.14-3.30 |
NYR leaders
points
| C | M. Zibanejad | 34G 44A | 78 |
| L | A. Lafrenière | 24G 33A | 57 |
| L | A. Panarin | 19G 38A | 57 |
| D | A. Fox | 9G 44A | 53 |
| C | J. Miller | 17G 36A | 53 |
BUF leaders
points
| C | T. Thompson | 40G 41A | 81 |
| D | R. Dahlin | 19G 55A | 74 |
| R | A. Tuch | 33G 33A | 66 |
| C | R. McLeod | 14G 40A | 54 |
| R | J. Doan | 25G 27A | 52 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts