Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.06
Goals / gm
3.61
3.37
Goals ag / gm
2.93
2.99
xG for / gm
3.43
2.78
xG ag / gm
2.65
51.8%
xG share
56.5%
50.2%
xG share
5v5
56.2%
51.9%
Shot share
fenwick
58.5%
-16.0
Finishing
goals − xG
-17.3
-21.2
Goaltending
xGA − GA
-3.0
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
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FLA
LWWLLOLWWW
CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
Goalies
by games played
FLA
S. Bobrovsky52gp · 0.877 · 3.07
D. Tarasov33gp · 0.895 · 3.05
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | CAR @ FLA | 4-3 OT | 4.08-2.47 |
| 2025-12-23 | FLA @ CAR | 5-2 | 2.89-2.55 |
| 2026-01-16 | FLA @ CAR | 1-9 | 1.78-4.64 |
FLA leaders
points
| C | S. Reinhart | 29G 32A | 61 |
| C | S. Bennett | 26G 32A | 58 |
| C | C. Verhaeghe | 25G 30A | 55 |
| L | B. Marchand | 27G 27A | 54 |
| C | A. Lundell | 18G 26A | 44 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts