Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
2.94
Goals / gm
3.51
3.15
Goals ag / gm
2.94
2.94
xG for / gm
2.89
2.91
xG ag / gm
2.92
50.2%
xG share
49.7%
48.1%
xG share
5v5
50.5%
50.3%
Shot share
fenwick
49.3%
-31.8
Finishing
goals − xG
+15.8
+8.7
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+26.7
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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DET
LLWLLOWLOL
BUF
LWWLLWWWWO
Goalies
by games played
DET
J. Gibson57gp · 0.901 · 2.72
C. Talbot34gp · 0.883 · 3.19
BUF
A. Lyon36gp · 0.907 · 2.77
U. Luukkonen35gp · 0.910 · 2.52
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 | DET @ BUF | 2-4 | 3.64-3.69 |
| 2025-11-15 | BUF @ DET | 4-5 OT | 3.08-2.60 |
| 2026-03-27 | DET @ BUF | 5-2 | 2.24-3.72 |
DET leaders
points
| R | A. DeBrincat | 41G 44A | 85 |
| L | L. Raymond | 25G 51A | 76 |
| C | D. Larkin | 34G 33A | 67 |
| D | M. Seider | 10G 50A | 60 |
| R | P. Kane | 16G 41A | 57 |
BUF leaders
points
| C | T. Thompson | 40G 41A | 81 |
| D | R. Dahlin | 19G 55A | 74 |
| R | A. Tuch | 33G 33A | 66 |
| C | R. McLeod | 14G 40A | 54 |
| R | J. Doan | 25G 27A | 52 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts

