Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.61
Goals / gm
3.09
2.93
Goals ag / gm
3.65
3.43
xG for / gm
2.65
2.65
xG ag / gm
3.23
56.5%
xG share
45.1%
56.2%
xG share
5v5
45.7%
58.5%
Shot share
fenwick
44.9%
-17.3
Finishing
goals − xG
+8.0
-3.0
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+3.5
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
TOR
WLWLOLLLLL
Goalies
by games played
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
TOR
J. Woll39gp · 0.899 · 3.34
A. Stolarz26gp · 0.893 · 3.28
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | CAR @ TOR | 5-4 | 4.49-2.39 |
| 2025-12-04 | TOR @ CAR | 1-5 | 4.03-2.63 |
| 2026-03-20 | CAR @ TOR | 4-3 OT | 3.88-2.11 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
TOR leaders
points
| R | W. Nylander | 30G 49A | 79 |
| C | J. Tavares | 31G 40A | 71 |
| L | M. Knies | 23G 43A | 66 |
| C | A. Matthews | 27G 26A | 53 |
| L | M. Maccelli | 14G 25A | 39 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts