Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.61
Goals / gm
3.54
2.93
Goals ag / gm
2.82
3.43
xG for / gm
3.08
2.65
xG ag / gm
2.73
56.5%
xG share
53.1%
56.2%
xG share
5v5
53.8%
58.5%
Shot share
fenwick
52.0%
-17.3
Finishing
goals − xG
+4.2
-3.0
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+13.5
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
TBL
WLWWLLLWWL
Goalies
by games played
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
TBL
A. Vasilevskiy58gp · 0.912 · 2.31
J. Johansson25gp · 0.884 · 3.29
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | CAR @ TBL | 4-6 | 2.05-3.60 |
| 2026-02-26 | TBL @ CAR | 5-4 | 2.37-3.53 |
| 2026-03-14 | CAR @ TBL | 4-2 | 3.64-2.53 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
TBL leaders
points
| R | N. Kucherov | 44G 86A | 130 |
| C | J. Guentzel | 38G 50A | 88 |
| L | B. Hagel | 36G 38A | 74 |
| D | D. Raddysh | 22G 48A | 70 |
| C | A. Cirelli | 23G 29A | 52 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts