Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.61
Goals / gm
3.45
2.93
Goals ag / gm
3.12
3.43
xG for / gm
2.97
2.65
xG ag / gm
3.13
56.5%
xG share
48.7%
56.2%
xG share
5v5
49.3%
58.5%
Shot share
fenwick
48.9%
-17.3
Finishing
goals − xG
+10.1
-3.0
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+23.5
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
MTL
WWWWLWWLWL
Goalies
by games played
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
MTL
J. Dobes43gp · 0.901 · 2.78
S. Montembeault25gp · 0.872 · 3.43
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | MTL @ CAR | 5-7 | 3.20-2.44 |
| 2026-03-24 | CAR @ MTL | 2-5 | 4.18-2.84 |
| 2026-03-29 | MTL @ CAR | 1-3 | 4.78-2.71 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
MTL leaders
points
| C | N. Suzuki | 29G 72A | 101 |
| R | C. Caufield | 51G 37A | 88 |
| D | L. Hutson | 12G 66A | 78 |
| L | J. Slafkovský | 30G 43A | 73 |
| R | I. Demidov | 19G 43A | 62 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts

