Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.61
Goals / gm
3.68
2.93
Goals ag / gm
2.48
3.43
xG for / gm
3.33
2.65
xG ag / gm
2.60
56.5%
xG share
56.2%
56.2%
xG share
5v5
57.2%
58.5%
Shot share
fenwick
55.4%
-17.3
Finishing
goals − xG
-0.7
-3.0
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+33.9
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
COL
WLWLWWOWWW
Goalies
by games played
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
COL
S. Wedgewood45gp · 0.921 · 2.02
M. Blackwood39gp · 0.904 · 2.51
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 | CAR @ COL | 5-4 OT | 2.35-4.80 |
| 2026-01-03 | COL @ CAR | 3-5 | 3.93-4.89 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
COL leaders
points
| C | N. MacKinnon | 53G 74A | 127 |
| C | M. Necas | 38G 62A | 100 |
| D | C. Makar | 20G 59A | 79 |
| C | B. Nelson | 33G 32A | 65 |
| R | V. Nichushkin | 17G 32A | 49 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts