Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.61
Goals / gm
2.59
2.93
Goals ag / gm
3.16
3.43
xG for / gm
2.62
2.65
xG ag / gm
3.03
56.5%
xG share
46.4%
56.2%
xG share
5v5
46.7%
58.5%
Shot share
fenwick
48.3%
-17.3
Finishing
goals − xG
-23.6
-3.0
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+18.1
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
CGY
WLLWOLLWLW
Goalies
by games played
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
CGY
D. Wolf57gp · 0.899 · 3.01
D. Cooley31gp · 0.909 · 2.69
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | CGY @ CAR | 1-0 OT | 2.52-2.36 |
| 2026-03-07 | CAR @ CGY | 4-5 | 3.11-2.35 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
CGY leaders
points
| R | M. Coronato | 18G 27A | 45 |
| C | M. Frost | 22G 21A | 43 |
| C | M. Backlund | 17G 26A | 43 |
| C | N. Kadri | 12G 29A | 41 |
| L | J. Farabee | 20G 18A | 38 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts