Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.51
Goals / gm
3.68
2.94
Goals ag / gm
2.48
2.89
xG for / gm
3.33
2.92
xG ag / gm
2.60
49.7%
xG share
56.2%
50.5%
xG share
5v5
57.2%
49.3%
Shot share
fenwick
55.4%
+15.8
Finishing
goals − xG
-0.7
+26.7
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+33.9
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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BUF
LWWLLWWWWO
COL
WLWLWWOWWW
Goalies
by games played
BUF
A. Lyon36gp · 0.907 · 2.77
U. Luukkonen35gp · 0.910 · 2.52
COL
S. Wedgewood45gp · 0.921 · 2.02
M. Blackwood39gp · 0.904 · 2.51
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | COL @ BUF | 1-3 | 2.37-3.28 |
| 2025-11-13 | BUF @ COL | 3-6 | 2.84-3.84 |
BUF leaders
points
| C | T. Thompson | 40G 41A | 81 |
| D | R. Dahlin | 19G 55A | 74 |
| R | A. Tuch | 33G 33A | 66 |
| C | R. McLeod | 14G 40A | 54 |
| R | J. Doan | 25G 27A | 52 |
COL leaders
points
| C | N. MacKinnon | 53G 74A | 127 |
| C | M. Necas | 38G 62A | 100 |
| D | C. Makar | 20G 59A | 79 |
| C | B. Nelson | 33G 32A | 65 |
| R | V. Nichushkin | 17G 32A | 49 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts

