Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.51
Goals / gm
3.61
2.94
Goals ag / gm
2.93
2.89
xG for / gm
3.43
2.92
xG ag / gm
2.65
49.7%
xG share
56.5%
50.5%
xG share
5v5
56.2%
49.3%
Shot share
fenwick
58.5%
+15.8
Finishing
goals − xG
-17.3
+26.7
Goaltending
xGA − GA
-3.0
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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BUF
LWWLLWWWWO
CAR
LWWWLWWWOW
Goalies
by games played
BUF
A. Lyon36gp · 0.907 · 2.77
U. Luukkonen35gp · 0.910 · 2.52
CAR
B. Bussi39gp · 0.895 · 2.47
F. Andersen35gp · 0.874 · 3.05
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | BUF @ CAR | 3-6 | 2.56-3.02 |
| 2025-11-23 | CAR @ BUF | 4-1 | 2.98-3.70 |
| 2026-01-19 | BUF @ CAR | 1-2 | 2.37-2.93 |
BUF leaders
points
| C | T. Thompson | 40G 41A | 81 |
| D | R. Dahlin | 19G 55A | 74 |
| R | A. Tuch | 33G 33A | 66 |
| C | R. McLeod | 14G 40A | 54 |
| R | J. Doan | 25G 27A | 52 |
CAR leaders
points
| C | S. Aho | 27G 53A | 80 |
| L | N. Ehlers | 26G 45A | 71 |
| R | A. Svechnikov | 31G 39A | 70 |
| R | S. Jarvis | 32G 34A | 66 |
| R | J. Blake | 22G 31A | 53 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts