Showing 2025-26 — the upcoming season has no games played yet. These are last season's numbers, with last season's rosters.
2025-26 · regular season
3.32
Goals / gm
3.51
3.05
Goals ag / gm
2.94
2.70
xG for / gm
2.89
3.14
xG ag / gm
2.92
46.2%
xG share
49.7%
47.5%
xG share
5v5
50.5%
48.3%
Shot share
fenwick
49.3%
+23.6
Finishing
goals − xG
+15.8
+28.8
Goaltending
xGA − GA
+26.7
Finishing and goaltending are measured against regulation goals only — expected goals has no model for 3-on-3 or the shootout, so counting those would credit a team for scoring in a format the model never saw.
Recent form
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BOS
WWWLLOOLWW
BUF
LWWLLWWWWO
Goalies
by games played
BOS
J. Swayman55gp · 0.908 · 2.71
J. Korpisalo31gp · 0.894 · 3.15
BUF
A. Lyon36gp · 0.907 · 2.77
U. Luukkonen35gp · 0.910 · 2.52
Head to head
2025-26 meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | BUF @ BOS | 3-1 | 2.92-1.87 |
| 2025-10-30 | BUF @ BOS | 4-3 OT | 2.15-4.86 |
| 2025-12-27 | BOS @ BUF | 1-4 | 2.50-2.19 |
| 2026-03-25 | BOS @ BUF | 4-3 OT | 2.23-2.76 |
BOS leaders
points
| R | D. Pastrnak | 29G 71A | 100 |
| C | M. Geekie | 39G 29A | 68 |
| C | P. Zacha | 30G 35A | 65 |
| D | C. McAvoy | 11G 50A | 61 |
| L | V. Arvidsson | 25G 29A | 54 |
BUF leaders
points
| C | T. Thompson | 40G 41A | 81 |
| D | R. Dahlin | 19G 55A | 74 |
| R | A. Tuch | 33G 33A | 66 |
| C | R. McLeod | 14G 40A | 54 |
| R | J. Doan | 25G 27A | 52 |
← all matchupsno prediction here — these are results, not forecasts